Final Score: Pirates 7 - Reds 8
Friday, July 31, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
Pirates @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 395 | 437 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Pirates | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 110 | 108 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 44% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 11
0-11
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New York Yankees
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ New York Yankees
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ New York Yankees
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
Reds
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8