Reds @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Reds 4 - Cardinals 2
Friday, July 24, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET
Cincinnati
Reds
47-54 Rating 1487
Form: LWLWW
4 – 2
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.4
St. Louis
Cardinals
52-50 Rating 1497
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cardinals
All-time wins 380 412
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cardinals
Games played 101 102
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.5
Win percentage 47% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 49%