Final Score: Diamondbacks 10 - Cardinals 6
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 5:15 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
53-49 Rating 1512
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.1
Cardinals
52-49 Rating 1499
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Cardinals
All-time wins 79 119
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 5.1
Last meeting 8 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Cardinals
Games played 102 101
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 52% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 50%