Final Score: Diamondbacks 3 - Nationals 2
Friday, July 24, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Diamondbacks @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 83 | 102 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 1 |
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 103 | 103 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 5.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 39% |
Recent Results
Diamondbacks
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 23, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs Athletics
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 20
15-5
vs Athletics
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Athletics
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
Nationals
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Athletics
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Athletics
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -14 · Total: 16
1-15
@ Athletics
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +19 · Total: 27
23-4
vs New York Yankees
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs New York Yankees
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs New York Yankees
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Houston Astros
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2