Final Score: Nationals 7 - Rockies 8
Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Rockies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
51-50 Rating 1469
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.5
Rockies
40-62 Rating 1395
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Rockies
All-time wins 107 131
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.2 5.4
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Rockies
Games played 101 102
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.8
Avg runs conceded 5.3 5.7
Win percentage 50% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 45%