Final Score: Yankees 0 - Nationals 0
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET

Yankees @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
41-26 Rating 1562
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.8
Nationals
35-34 Rating 1465
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Nationals
All-time wins 26 21
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 3.7
Last meeting 11 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Nationals
Games played 67 69
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.4
Avg runs conceded 3.6 5.3
Win percentage 61% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 38%