Final Score: Yankees 4 - Nationals 2
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET
Yankees @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 27 | 21 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 3 |
| Stat | Yankees | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 94 | 95 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 5.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 41% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 16
12-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 15
4-11
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Detroit Tigers
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
Nationals
vs New York Yankees
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Houston Astros
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Houston Astros
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Houston Astros
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 23
12-11
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6