Final Score: Nationals 3 - Red Sox 6
Monday, June 29, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Nationals @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 29 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 5.6 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 6 |
| Stat | Nationals | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 85 | 82 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.3 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.2 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 39% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 23
9-14
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
Red Sox
vs New York Yankees
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New York Yankees
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs New York Yankees
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs New York Yankees
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Colorado Rockies
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jun 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jun 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Seattle Mariners
Jun 19, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2