Final Score: Nationals 4 - Rays 3
Saturday, June 20, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
39-37 Rating 1467
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.8
Rays
42-30 Rating 1516
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Rays
All-time wins 21 26
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Rays
Games played 76 72
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.4
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.3
Win percentage 51% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 74%