Final Score: Nationals 2 - Rays 5
Friday, June 19, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Nationals @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 21 | 25 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 7 |
| Stat | Nationals | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 75 | 71 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.4 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 73% |
Recent Results
Nationals
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 17, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 14, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 13, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 12, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ San Francisco Giants
Jun 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 21
10-11
@ San Francisco Giants
Jun 9, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ San Francisco Giants
Jun 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
Rays
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 14, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 13, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Boston Red Sox
Jun 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Boston Red Sox
Jun 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Jun 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Miami Marlins
Jun 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4