Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Rays 4
Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
27-37 Rating 1505
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Rays
38-25 Rating 1518
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 267 231
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 64 63
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.4
Win percentage 42% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 71%