Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Rays 7
Wednesday, June 10, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
27-38 Rating 1503
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Rays
39-25 Rating 1520
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 267 232
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 65 64
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.4
Win percentage 42% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 72%