Final Score: Rays 3 - Marlins 4
Saturday, June 6, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Rays @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
37-23 Rating 1520
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Marlins
29-35 Rating 1476
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Marlins
All-time wins 87 64
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 6 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Marlins
Games played 60 64
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.6
Win percentage 62% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 53%