Final Score: Marlins 7 - Nationals 3
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
27-34 Rating 1474
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.1
Nationals
31-30 Rating 1463
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 275 265
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 61 61
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.6 5.4
Win percentage 44% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 32% 40%