Final Score: Mets 1 - Marlins 4
Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Mets @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 291 | 249 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 2 |
| Stat | Mets | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 51 | 52 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 52% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Miami Marlins
May 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Washington Nationals
May 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Washington Nationals
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Washington Nationals
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
@ Washington Nationals
May 18, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 23
16-7
vs New York Yankees
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs New York Yankees
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs New York Yankees
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Detroit Tigers
May 14, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Detroit Tigers
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Marlins
vs New York Mets
May 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Atlanta Braves
May 21, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs Atlanta Braves
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Atlanta Braves
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs Atlanta Braves
May 18, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 12
12-0
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 17, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Minnesota Twins
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
@ Minnesota Twins
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5