Final Score: Mets 16 - Nationals 7
Monday, May 18, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
20-26 Rating 1495
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.2
Nationals
23-24 Rating 1455
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 487 478
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.1
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 46 47
Avg runs scored 3.8 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.7
Win percentage 43% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 36%