Final Score: Yankees 6 - Mets 7
Sunday, May 17, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Yankees @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
28-18 Rating 1557
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Mets
19-26 Rating 1493
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Mets
All-time wins 88 71
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Mets
Games played 46 45
Avg runs scored 5.0 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.5 4.1
Win percentage 61% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 43%