Final Score: Blue Jays 6 - Yankees 7
Monday, May 18, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
21-25 Rating 1522
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.6
Yankees
28-19 Rating 1555
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Yankees
All-time wins 338 404
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.8
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Yankees
Games played 46 47
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.6
Win percentage 46% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 70%