Final Score: Yankees 2 - Orioles 3
Monday, May 11, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET
Yankees @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 516 | 385 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 12 | 1 |
| Stat | Yankees | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 41 | 41 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.5 | 5.4 |
| Win percentage | 63% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 48% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ Milwaukee Brewers
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Texas Rangers
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Texas Rangers
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Texas Rangers
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 13
12-1
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 14
11-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
Orioles
vs Athletics
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Athletics
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Athletics
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ New York Yankees
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 13
1-12
@ New York Yankees
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
@ New York Yankees
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
@ New York Yankees
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7