Final Score: Orioles 2 - Yankees 7
Friday, May 1, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Orioles @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
15-16 Rating 1498
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.9
Yankees
20-11 Rating 1559
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Yankees
All-time wins 385 512
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.3 4.9
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Yankees
Games played 31 31
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.4
Win percentage 48% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 62%