Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Orioles 3
Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
10-17 Rating 1509
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.1
Orioles
13-14 Rating 1498
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 487 394
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 17 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 27 27
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 5.0
Win percentage 37% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 50%