Final Score: Orioles 2 - Guardians 4
Thursday, April 16, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
Orioles @ Guardians
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 304 | 304 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Orioles | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 18 | 19 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 67% |
Recent Results
Orioles
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
Guardians
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 14
1-13
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
vs Kansas City Royals
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5