Mets @ Guardians
Mets
Model Probability
Guardians
Cleveland Guardians +0.6
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | 0–5 | Guardians +5 | Guardians +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 12–8 | Diamondbacks +4 | Guardians +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 4–1 | Diamondbacks +3 | Guardians +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 6–1 | Guardians +5 | Guardians +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 0–2 | Reds +2 | Guardians +0.1 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians Tigers | 457-441-7 | 50.9% | -7.5 | 846 |
| Guardians White Sox | 420-407-6 | 50.8% | -6.1 | 796 |
| Guardians Twins | 429-395-3 | 52.1% | +8.7 | 789 |
| Guardians Royals | 437-381-6 | 53.4% | +3.8 | 788 |
| Guardians Red Sox | 295-347-3 | 46.0% | -0.7 | 601 |