Final Score: Rays 7 - Guardians 3
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Rays @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
102-66 Rating 1550
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.1
Guardians
90-80 Rating 1522
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Guardians
All-time wins 92 117
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.6
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Guardians
Games played 168 170
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.1
Win percentage 61% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 51%