Final Score: Rays 4 - Yankees 3
Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Rays @ Yankees
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 216 | 280 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 2 |
| Stat | Rays | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 164 | 165 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 61% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 59% |
Recent Results
Rays
vs New York Yankees
Oct 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs New York Yankees
Oct 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 27, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 26, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 13
12-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ New York Yankees
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ New York Yankees
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ New York Yankees
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ New York Yankees
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
Yankees
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Oct 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Oct 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 30, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 29, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 9
9-0
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0