Final Score: Red Sox 2 - Yankees 9
Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Red Sox @ Yankees
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 451 | 477 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 9 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 163 | 162 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 58% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ New York Yankees
Sep 29, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 9
0-9
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 27, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Yankees
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 29, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 9
9-0
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2