Final Score: Red Sox 1 - Rays 2
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Red Sox @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 272 | 233 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 2 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 154 | 153 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 61% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 58% | 67% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
Rays
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Athletics
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
vs Athletics
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Athletics
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Houston Astros
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 18
14-4
vs Houston Astros
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Houston Astros
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1