Final Score: Rays 1 - Braves 3
Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET

Rays @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
87-58 Rating 1539
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.2
Braves
85-61 Rating 1535
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Braves
All-time wins 21 29
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Braves
Games played 145 146
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.8
Win percentage 60% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 65%