Final Score: Rays 7 - Braves 2
Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Rays @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
86-58 Rating 1536
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.3
Braves
85-60 Rating 1537
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Braves
All-time wins 20 29
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.8
Last meeting 7 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Braves
Games played 144 145
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.8
Win percentage 60% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 66%