Final Score: Astros 1 - Rays 3
Friday, September 11, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Astros @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 51 | 55 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 3.5 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 0 |
| Stat | Astros | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 147 | 146 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 65% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
Rays
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs New York Mets
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs New York Mets
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs New York Mets
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3