Final Score: Astros 0 - Phillies 0
Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET

Astros @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
58-56 Rating 1519
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
60-53 Rating 1542
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Phillies
All-time wins 249 220
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.0
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Phillies
Games played 114 113
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.4
Win percentage 51% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 52%