Final Score: Phillies 7 - Diamondbacks 1
Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
78-60 Rating 1557
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Diamondbacks
73-66 Rating 1516
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
All-time wins 94 98
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.7
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
Games played 138 139
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.5
Win percentage 57% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 57%