Final Score: Cubs 4 - Diamondbacks 5
Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
76-56 Rating 1544
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.1
Diamondbacks
69-63 Rating 1515
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Diamondbacks
All-time wins 94 103
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.8
Last meeting 7 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Diamondbacks
Games played 132 132
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.5
Win percentage 58% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 57%