Final Score: Diamondbacks 4 - Red Sox 9
Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
66-60 Rating 1515
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Red Sox
67-58 Rating 1535
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Red Sox
All-time wins 14 17
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 5.1
Last meeting 1 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Red Sox
Games played 126 125
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.8
Win percentage 52% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 49%