Final Score: Diamondbacks 7 - Red Sox 6
Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
66-61 Rating 1513
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.5
Red Sox
68-58 Rating 1536
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Red Sox
All-time wins 14 18
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 5.2
Last meeting 4 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Red Sox
Games played 127 126
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.8
Win percentage 52% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 50%