Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Pirates 8
Friday, August 14, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
65-56 Rating 1535
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Pirates
59-64 Rating 1476
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Pirates
All-time wins 14 13
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 3.7
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Pirates
Games played 121 123
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.0
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.8
Win percentage 54% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 50%