Final Score: Cardinals 11 - Cubs 4
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET
Cardinals @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cardinals | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 482 | 473 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 4 |
| Stat | Cardinals | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 123 | 124 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 5.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 59% |
Recent Results
Cardinals
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New York Yankees
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ New York Yankees
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
Cubs
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6