Final Score: Phillies 6 - Cardinals 5
Monday, August 10, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET

Phillies @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
63-56 Rating 1539
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Cardinals
59-59 Rating 1493
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cardinals
All-time wins 326 346
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 7 14

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cardinals
Games played 119 118
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 53% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 48%