Final Score: Phillies 4 - Orioles 6
Friday, July 31, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
Phillies @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 35 | 41 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 5 |
| Stat | Phillies | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 109 | 109 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 52% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
vs New York Yankees
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
vs New York Yankees
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs New York Yankees
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
vs New York Mets
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
Orioles
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 19
10-9
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -14 · Total: 14
0-14
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Houston Astros
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2