Final Score: Yankees 3 - Phillies 1
Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 6:05 PM ET

Yankees @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
58-45 Rating 1549
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Phillies
56-48 Rating 1545
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Phillies
All-time wins 30 24
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.2 5.0
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Phillies
Games played 103 104
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.5
Win percentage 56% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 51%