Final Score: Phillies 2 - Tigers 10
Friday, July 10, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Tigers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
52-42 Rating 1551
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Tigers
43-50 Rating 1495
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Tigers
All-time wins 17 14
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.0
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Tigers
Games played 94 93
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.0
Win percentage 55% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 55%