Final Score: Phillies 4 - Reds 1
Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Phillies @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 241 | 289 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 9 |
| Stat | Phillies | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 91 | 89 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 45% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -14 · Total: 16
1-15
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
@ New York Mets
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ New York Mets
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New York Mets
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Reds
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4