Final Score: Reds 6 - Pirates 4
Friday, June 26, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Reds @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
37-42 Rating 1488
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.1
Pirates
41-40 Rating 1479
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Pirates
All-time wins 434 394
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 0 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Pirates
Games played 79 81
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.7
Win percentage 47% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 52%