Final Score: Mets 3 - Reds 5
Tuesday, June 16, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Mets @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
32-40 Rating 1492
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.2
Reds
34-37 Rating 1490
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Reds
All-time wins 263 265
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.2
Last meeting 0 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Reds
Games played 72 71
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.9
Win percentage 44% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 50%