Final Score: Reds 4 - Padres 5
Wednesday, June 10, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Reds @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Reds | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 353 | 312 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 3 |
| Stat | Reds | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 66 | 66 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 49% |
Recent Results
Reds
@ San Diego Padres
Jun 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ San Diego Padres
Jun 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 5, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 1, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
vs Atlanta Braves
May 31, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Atlanta Braves
May 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
Padres
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs New York Mets
Jun 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs New York Mets
Jun 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New York Mets
Jun 5, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Washington Nationals
May 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Washington Nationals
May 30, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9