Final Score: Mets 2 - Padres 3
Saturday, June 6, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
Mets @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 263 | 268 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 3.9 | 3.8 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 0 |
| Stat | Mets | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 63 | 62 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 39% | 48% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ San Diego Padres
Jun 5, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Seattle Mariners
Jun 3, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Seattle Mariners
Jun 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Seattle Mariners
Jun 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Miami Marlins
May 31, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
vs Miami Marlins
May 30, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Miami Marlins
May 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 25, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
Padres
vs New York Mets
Jun 5, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Washington Nationals
May 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Washington Nationals
May 30, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
@ Washington Nationals
May 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3