Final Score: Padres 4 - Phillies 6
Thursday, June 4, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
Padres @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 230 | 301 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Padres | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 60 | 61 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 50% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Washington Nationals
May 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Washington Nationals
May 30, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
@ Washington Nationals
May 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Athletics
May 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Athletics
May 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
Phillies
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
May 31, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
May 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
May 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ San Diego Padres
May 27, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ San Diego Padres
May 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ San Diego Padres
May 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Cleveland Guardians
May 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Cleveland Guardians
May 23, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0