Final Score: Padres 2 - Nationals 4
Sunday, May 31, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Padres @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
32-25 Rating 1537
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Nationals
30-29 Rating 1463
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Nationals
All-time wins 251 270
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.2
Last meeting 4 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Nationals
Games played 57 59
Avg runs scored 3.9 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.4
Win percentage 56% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 64% 39%