Final Score: Phillies 4 - Padres 3
Tuesday, May 26, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Phillies @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 297 | 230 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 0 |
| Stat | Phillies | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 54 | 53 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 53% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ San Diego Padres
May 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Cleveland Guardians
May 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Cleveland Guardians
May 23, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Cleveland Guardians
May 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 20
11-9
Padres
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Athletics
May 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Athletics
May 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Athletics
May 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Seattle Mariners
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Seattle Mariners
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Seattle Mariners
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0