Final Score: Reds 9 - Phillies 4
Wednesday, May 20, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET

Reds @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
25-24 Rating 1497
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Phillies
25-24 Rating 1542
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Phillies
All-time wins 288 241
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Phillies
Games played 49 49
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.6
Win percentage 51% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 50%