Final Score: Reds 7 - Guardians 6
Friday, May 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Reds @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
23-21 Rating 1498
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.5
Guardians
24-21 Rating 1524
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Guardians
All-time wins 64 77
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 5.2
Last meeting 2 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Guardians
Games played 44 45
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.1
Win percentage 52% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 59%